科研成果详情

题名Nomogram to predict severe retinopathy of prematurity in Southeast China
作者
发表日期2024-02-18
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OPHTHALMOLOGY   影响因子和分区
语种英语
原始文献类型Article
关键词retinopathy of prematurity nomogram predictive factor birth weight multiple births non-invasive ventilation
其他关键词SCREENING ALGORITHM WINROP ; PRETERM INFANTS ; WEIGHT-GAIN ; POPULATION ; EFFICACY
摘要

AIM: To define the predictive factors of severe retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) and develop a nomogram for predicting severe ROP in southeast China. METHODS: Totally 554 infants diagnosed with ROP hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University and hospitalized in Taizhou Women and Children's Hospital were included. Clinical data and 43 candidate predictive factors of ROP infants were collected retrospectively. Logistic regression model was used to identify predictive factors of severe ROP and to propose a nomogram for individual risk prediction, which was compared with WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model. RESULTS: Infants from the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (n=478) were randomly allocated into training (n=402) and internal validation group (n=76). Infants from Taizhou Women and Children's Hospital were set as external validation group (n=76). Severe ROP were found in 52 of 402 infants, 12 of 76 infants, and 7 of 76 infants in training group, internal validation group, and external validation group, respectively. Birth weight [odds ratio (OR), 0.997; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.996-0.999; P<0.001], multiple births (OR, 1.885; 95%CI, 1.013-3.506; P=0.045), and non-invasive ventilation (OR, 0.288; 95%CI, 0.146-0.570; P<0.001) were identified as predictive factors for the prediction of severe ROP, by univariate analysis and multivariate analysis. For predicting severe ROP based on the internal validation group, the areas under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 78.1 (95%CI, 64.2-92.0) for the nomogram, 32.9 (95%CI, 15.3-50.5) for WINROP model, 70.2 (95%CI, 55.8-84.6) for Digirop-Birth model. In external validation group, AUC of the nomogram was also higher than that of WINROP model and DigiropBirth model (80.2 versus 51.1 and 63.4). The decision curve analysis of the nomogram demonstrated better clinical efficacy than that of WINROP model and DigiropBirth model. The calibration curves demonstrated a good consistency between the actual severe ROP incidence and the predicted probability. CONCLUSION: Birth weight, multiple births, and non-invasive ventilation are independent predictors of severe ROP. The nomogram has a good ability to predict severe ROP and performed well on internal validation and external validation in southeast China.

资助项目Wenzhou Science and Technology Project [Y20190173]
出版者IJO PRESS
ISSN2222-3959
EISSN2227-4898
卷号17期号:2页码:282-288
DOI10.18240/ijo.2024.02.09
页数7
WOS类目Ophthalmology
WOS研究方向Ophthalmology
WOS记录号WOS:001156728800014
收录类别SCIE ; PUBMED ; SCOPUS
URL查看原文
PubMed ID38371261
SCOPUSEID2-s2.0-85186254866
通讯作者地址[Zheng, Sui-Lian]Department of Ophthalmology,the Second Affiliated Hospital,Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Wenzhou,325027,China ; [Wu, Hai-Jian]Department of Ophthalmology,Taizhou Municipal Hospital,Zhejiang Province,Taizhou,318099,China ; [Jiang, Chen-Chen]Clinical Medical Research Center,the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Wenzhou,325027,China
Scopus学科分类Ophthalmology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符https://kms.wmu.edu.cn/handle/3ETUA0LF/207076
专题第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_眼科学_眼科
温州医科大学
眼视光学院(生物医学工程学院)、附属眼视光医院
第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_临床医学研究中心
通讯作者Jiang, Chen-Chen; Wu, Hai-Jian; Zheng, Sui-Lian
作者单位
1.Department of Ophthalmology,the Second Affiliated Hospital,Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Wenzhou,325027,China;
2.Eye Hospital,School of Ophthalmology and Optometry,Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Wenzhou,325027,China;
3.Taizhou Optometry Hospital,Zhejiang Province,Taizhou,318001,China;
4.Department of Ophthalmology,Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital,Zhejiang Province,Jiaxing,314009,China;
5.Department of Ophthalmology,Taizhou Women and Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Taizhou,318001,China;
6.Clinical Medical Research Center,the Second Affiliated Hospital,Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University,Zhejiang Province,Wenzhou,325027,China;
7.Department of Ophthalmology,Taizhou Municipal Hospital,Zhejiang Province,Taizhou,318099,China
第一作者单位第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_眼科学_眼科
通讯作者单位第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_眼科学_眼科;  第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_临床医学研究中心
第一作者的第一单位第二临床医学院,附属第二医院、育英儿童医院_眼科学_眼科
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Dan,Li, Xing-Yong,He, Hong-Wu,et al. Nomogram to predict severe retinopathy of prematurity in Southeast China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OPHTHALMOLOGY,2024,17(2):282-288.
APA Liu, Dan., Li, Xing-Yong., He, Hong-Wu., Jin, Ka-Lu., Zhang, Ling-Xia., ... & Zheng, Sui-Lian. (2024). Nomogram to predict severe retinopathy of prematurity in Southeast China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OPHTHALMOLOGY, 17(2), 282-288.
MLA Liu, Dan,et al."Nomogram to predict severe retinopathy of prematurity in Southeast China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OPHTHALMOLOGY 17.2(2024):282-288.

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